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Germany - Bundesliga | Regular Season - 28
Sat 4 Apr at 13:30
Freiburg
Elo: 1615
vs
Bayern
Elo: 1800
Prediction: Away Win (1-1)
Match Result Prediction
64%Moderate
25%28%48%
HomeDrawAway
Most likely scoreline: 1-1
Goals Markets
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
BTTS Yes
54%
Model Breakdown
eloH: 25% | D: 26% | A: 49%
poissonH: 23% | D: 28% | A: 50%
Context Adjustments
motivation: -2%
Our Analysis vs Market
(6 bookmakers)Home Win
Us25%
Market24%
Draw
Us28%
Market28%
Away Win
Us48%
Market48%
Over 2.5
Us50%
Market51%
Bookmaker Odds
Match Result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3.78 | 3.56 | 2.01 |
| William Hill | 4.53 | 3.46 | 1.93 |
| Betfair | 3.63 | 3.24 | 2.21 |
| Pinnacle | 4.57 | 3.22 | 1.90 |
| Unibet | 4.31 | 3.53 | 2.00 |
| 1xBet | 3.84 | 3.47 | 2.02 |
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.94 | 1.88 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 1.79 |
| Betfair | 1.87 | 1.99 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 1.99 |
| Unibet | 1.77 | 2.19 |
| 1xBet | 1.84 | 1.98 |
Form Comparison
Freiburg
Stat
Bayern
Last 5
1.7
Avg Scored
2.2
1.2
Avg Conceded
0.7
-
Avg Possession
-
4
Clean Sheets
6
8
League Pos
1