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France - Ligue 1 | Regular Season - 30
Sat 18 Apr at 15:00
Lorient
Elo: 1562
vs
Marseille
Elo: 1747
Prediction: Away Win (1-1)
Match Result Prediction
64%Moderate
25%27%47%
HomeDrawAway
Most likely scoreline: 1-1
Goals Markets
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
33%
BTTS Yes
58%
Model Breakdown
eloH: 25% | D: 26% | A: 49%
poissonH: 24% | D: 27% | A: 49%
Context Adjustments
motivation: -2%
Our Analysis vs Market
(6 bookmakers)Home Win
Us25%
Market26%
Draw
Us27%
Market27%
Away Win
Us47%
Market47%
Over 2.5+3%
Us55%
Market52%
Bookmaker Odds
Match Result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3.38 | 3.49 | 2.17 |
| William Hill | 3.58 | 3.89 | 1.96 |
| Betfair | 3.78 | 3.55 | 2.07 |
| Pinnacle | 4.23 | 3.43 | 1.95 |
| Unibet | 3.37 | 3.16 | 2.18 |
| 1xBet | 3.99 | 3.39 | 2.03 |
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 2.01 |
| William Hill | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| Betfair | 1.92 | 2.01 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75 | 2.10 |
| Unibet | 1.75 | 2.04 |
| 1xBet | 1.83 | 1.97 |
Form Comparison
Lorient
Stat
Marseille
Last 5
1.6
Avg Scored
2.1
1.3
Avg Conceded
0.8
-
Avg Possession
-
3
Clean Sheets
5
10
League Pos
3