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England - Premier League | Regular Season - 33
Sun 19 Apr at 13:00
Aston Villa
Elo: 1729
vs
Sunderland
Elo: 1563
Prediction: Home Win (2-0)
Match Result Prediction
80%High
61%23%16%
HomeDrawAway
Most likely scoreline: 2-0
Goals Markets
Over 1.5
83%
Over 2.5
62%
Over 3.5
39%
BTTS Yes
53%
Model Breakdown
eloH: 62% | D: 21% | A: 17%
poissonH: 69% | D: 20% | A: 11%
Context Adjustments
motivation: +2%
Our Analysis vs Market
(6 bookmakers)Home Win
Us61%
Market62%
Draw
Us23%
Market22%
Away Win
Us16%
Market16%
Over 2.5+1%
Us62%
Market60%
Bookmaker Odds
Match Result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.56 | 4.70 | 6.19 |
| William Hill | 1.58 | 3.86 | 7.17 |
| Betfair | 1.59 | 4.52 | 4.72 |
| Pinnacle | 1.63 | 4.12 | 5.60 |
| Unibet | 1.56 | 4.40 | 6.58 |
| 1xBet | 1.51 | 4.91 | 5.63 |
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.56 | 2.62 |
| William Hill | 1.64 | 2.30 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 2.42 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65 | 2.33 |
| Unibet | 1.66 | 2.38 |
| 1xBet | 1.49 | 2.62 |
Form Comparison
Aston Villa
Stat
Sunderland
Last 5
2.0
Avg Scored
1.6
0.9
Avg Conceded
1.3
-
Avg Possession
-
5
Clean Sheets
3
4
League Pos
11