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Portugal - Primeira Liga | Regular Season - 28
Sat 4 Apr at 17:00
Moreirense
Elo: 1575
vs
Braga
Elo: 1681
Prediction: Away Win (1-1)
Match Result Prediction
60%Moderate
32%29%39%
HomeDrawAway
Most likely scoreline: 1-1
Goals Markets
Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
32%
BTTS Yes
59%
Model Breakdown
eloH: 31% | D: 29% | A: 40%
poissonH: 33% | D: 28% | A: 38%
Context Adjustments
motivation: -2%
Our Analysis vs Market
(6 bookmakers)Home Win+1%
Us32%
Market31%
Draw-1%
Us29%
Market30%
Away Win
Us39%
Market39%
Over 2.5
Us54%
Market54%
Bookmaker Odds
Match Result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3.17 | 3.01 | 2.61 |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 3.14 | 2.40 |
| Betfair | 2.92 | 3.35 | 2.55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.87 | 3.25 | 2.49 |
| Unibet | 3.31 | 3.25 | 2.34 |
| 1xBet | 3.24 | 3.21 | 2.35 |
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.76 | 2.17 |
| William Hill | 1.72 | 2.26 |
| Betfair | 1.89 | 1.94 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87 | 1.93 |
| Unibet | 1.66 | 2.38 |
| 1xBet | 1.92 | 1.97 |
Form Comparison
Moreirense
Stat
Braga
Last 5
1.7
Avg Scored
2.0
1.2
Avg Conceded
0.9
-
Avg Possession
-
4
Clean Sheets
5
8
League Pos
4