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Portugal - Primeira Liga | Regular Season - 29
Sun 12 Apr at 17:00
Braga
Elo: 1681
vs
Arouca
Elo: 1469
Prediction: Home Win (2-0)
Match Result Prediction
82%Very High
65%21%14%
HomeDrawAway
Most likely scoreline: 2-0
Goals Markets
Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
Model Breakdown
eloH: 67% | D: 19% | A: 14%
poissonH: 74% | D: 17% | A: 9%
Context Adjustments
motivation: +2%
Our Analysis vs Market
(6 bookmakers)Home Win-1%
Us65%
Market67%
Draw
Us21%
Market22%
Away Win+2%
Us14%
Market12%
Over 2.5-2%
Us64%
Market66%
Bookmaker Odds
Match Result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.47 | 4.51 | 8.68 |
| William Hill | 1.35 | 5.03 | 7.97 |
| Betfair | 1.48 | 4.49 | 6.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40 | 5.18 | 8.43 |
| Unibet | 1.50 | 4.08 | 9.53 |
| 1xBet | 1.49 | 3.81 | 7.91 |
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.49 | 2.87 |
| William Hill | 1.43 | 2.95 |
| Betfair | 1.42 | 2.86 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47 | 2.90 |
| Unibet | 1.45 | 3.02 |
| 1xBet | 1.49 | 2.72 |
Form Comparison
Braga
Stat
Arouca
Last 5
2.0
Avg Scored
1.4
0.9
Avg Conceded
1.5
-
Avg Possession
-
5
Clean Sheets
2
4
League Pos
12