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England - Championship | Regular Season - 40
Fri 3 Apr at 19:00
Coventry City
Elo: 1730
vs
Derby County
Elo: 1593
Prediction: Home Win (2-0)
Match Result Prediction
78%High
58%24%17%
HomeDrawAway
Most likely scoreline: 2-0
Goals Markets
Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
32%
BTTS Yes
49%
Model Breakdown
eloH: 59% | D: 22% | A: 19%
poissonH: 65% | D: 22% | A: 12%
Context Adjustments
motivation: +2%
Our Analysis vs Market
(6 bookmakers)Home Win+2%
Us58%
Market57%
Draw-1%
Us24%
Market26%
Away Win
Us17%
Market17%
Over 2.5
Us54%
Market53%
Bookmaker Odds
Match Result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.63 | 5.17 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.66 | 5.23 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.70 | 7.12 |
| Pinnacle | 1.70 | 3.51 | 6.91 |
| Unibet | 1.71 | 4.31 | 4.85 |
| 1xBet | 1.75 | 3.81 | 4.86 |
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 2.15 |
| William Hill | 1.90 | 1.99 |
| Betfair | 1.77 | 2.18 |
| Pinnacle | 1.74 | 2.23 |
| Unibet | 1.93 | 1.95 |
| 1xBet | 1.88 | 2.03 |
Form Comparison
Coventry City
Stat
Derby County
Last 5
2.2
Avg Scored
1.8
0.7
Avg Conceded
1.1
-
Avg Possession
-
6
Clean Sheets
4
1
League Pos
8