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England - Championship | Regular Season - 42
Sat 11 Apr at 14:00
Southampton
Elo: 1632
vs
Derby County
Elo: 1593
Prediction: Home Win (1-1)
Match Result Prediction
72%High
47%27%26%
HomeDrawAway
Most likely scoreline: 1-1
Goals Markets
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
33%
BTTS Yes
57%
Model Breakdown
eloH: 47% | D: 26% | A: 26%
poissonH: 52% | D: 26% | A: 22%
Our Analysis vs Market
(6 bookmakers)Home Win
Us47%
Market48%
Draw
Us27%
Market27%
Away Win
Us26%
Market25%
Over 2.5
Us56%
Market56%
Bookmaker Odds
Match Result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.09 | 3.75 | 3.58 |
| William Hill | 2.02 | 3.66 | 3.77 |
| Betfair | 1.96 | 3.38 | 3.96 |
| Pinnacle | 1.98 | 3.60 | 4.10 |
| Unibet | 2.00 | 3.45 | 4.14 |
| 1xBet | 2.12 | 3.87 | 3.34 |
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 2.11 |
| William Hill | 1.68 | 2.22 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 2.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.63 | 2.39 |
| Unibet | 1.79 | 2.07 |
| 1xBet | 1.77 | 2.19 |
Form Comparison
Southampton
Stat
Derby County
Last 5
1.9
Avg Scored
1.8
1.0
Avg Conceded
1.1
-
Avg Possession
-
5
Clean Sheets
4
6
League Pos
8