Back to Dashboard
England - Championship | Regular Season - 43
Sat 18 Apr at 11:30
Derby County
Elo: 1593
vs
Oxford United
Elo: 1300
Prediction: Home Win (2-0)
Match Result Prediction
82%Very High
67%18%15%
HomeDrawAway
Most likely scoreline: 2-0
Goals Markets
Over 1.5
86%
Over 2.5
68%
Over 3.5
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
Model Breakdown
eloH: 75% | D: 15% | A: 10%
poissonH: 82% | D: 13% | A: 5%
Context Adjustments
motivation: -2%
Our Analysis vs Market
(6 bookmakers)Home Win-2%
Us67%
Market69%
Draw
Us18%
Market18%
Away Win+2%
Us15%
Market13%
Over 2.5-1%
Us68%
Market69%
Bookmaker Odds
Match Result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.41 | 4.96 | 6.79 |
| William Hill | 1.34 | 5.34 | 7.81 |
| Betfair | 1.42 | 6.11 | 6.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.42 | 5.42 | 7.88 |
| Unibet | 1.41 | 4.72 | 7.92 |
| 1xBet | 1.39 | 6.12 | 7.33 |
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.35 | 3.34 |
| William Hill | 1.35 | 3.44 |
| Betfair | 1.51 | 2.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.48 | 2.77 |
| Unibet | 1.29 | 3.39 |
| 1xBet | 1.40 | 3.10 |
Form Comparison
Derby County
Stat
Oxford United
Last 5
1.8
Avg Scored
1.1
1.1
Avg Conceded
1.9
-
Avg Possession
-
4
Clean Sheets
0
8
League Pos
23