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Brazil - Serie A | Regular Season - 10
Sat 4 Apr at 23:30
Coritiba
Elo: 1618
vs
Fluminense
Elo: 1736
Prediction: Away Win (1-1)
Match Result Prediction
58%Low
34%30%36%
HomeDrawAway
Most likely scoreline: 1-1
Goals Markets
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
BTTS Yes
56%
Model Breakdown
eloH: 30% | D: 29% | A: 41%
poissonH: 30% | D: 29% | A: 41%
Context Adjustments
away fatigue: -3%
Our Analysis vs Market
(6 bookmakers)Home Win-1%
Us34%
Market35%
Draw
Us30%
Market31%
Away Win+2%
Us36%
Market34%
Over 2.5-2%
Us50%
Market52%
Bookmaker Odds
Match Result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.97 | 3.05 | 2.61 |
| William Hill | 2.67 | 3.28 | 2.88 |
| Betfair | 2.93 | 2.93 | 2.92 |
| Pinnacle | 2.82 | 3.37 | 2.75 |
| Unibet | 2.53 | 3.18 | 2.85 |
| 1xBet | 2.70 | 3.14 | 2.94 |
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 2.06 |
| William Hill | 2.09 | 1.77 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 2.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85 | 2.07 |
| Unibet | 1.88 | 1.95 |
| 1xBet | 1.77 | 2.13 |
Form Comparison
Coritiba
Stat
Fluminense
Last 5
1.8
Avg Scored
2.1
1.1
Avg Conceded
0.8
-
Avg Possession
-
4
Clean Sheets
6
7
League Pos
2