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Brazil - Serie A | Regular Season - 11
Sat 11 Apr at 19:30
Vitória
Elo: 1547
vs
São Paulo
Elo: 1689
Prediction: Away Win (1-1)
Match Result Prediction
62%Moderate
29%28%43%
HomeDrawAway
Most likely scoreline: 1-1
Goals Markets
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
33%
BTTS Yes
59%
Model Breakdown
eloH: 28% | D: 28% | A: 44%
poissonH: 29% | D: 28% | A: 44%
Context Adjustments
motivation: -2%
Our Analysis vs Market
(6 bookmakers)Home Win
Us29%
Market28%
Draw
Us28%
Market28%
Away Win-1%
Us43%
Market44%
Over 2.5
Us55%
Market55%
Bookmaker Odds
Match Result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3.83 | 3.64 | 2.10 |
| William Hill | 3.36 | 3.91 | 2.05 |
| Betfair | 3.27 | 3.06 | 2.43 |
| Pinnacle | 2.95 | 3.63 | 2.41 |
| Unibet | 3.56 | 3.53 | 2.07 |
| 1xBet | 3.76 | 3.43 | 2.13 |
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.93 | 1.99 |
| William Hill | 1.66 | 2.28 |
| Betfair | 1.61 | 2.36 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67 | 2.33 |
| Unibet | 1.85 | 2.01 |
| 1xBet | 1.86 | 2.05 |
Form Comparison
Vitória
Stat
São Paulo
Last 5
1.6
Avg Scored
2.0
1.3
Avg Conceded
0.9
-
Avg Possession
-
3
Clean Sheets
5
10
League Pos
4