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Spain - La Liga | Regular Season - 30
Mon 6 Apr at 19:00
Girona
Elo: 1516
vs
Villarreal
Elo: 1753
Prediction: Away Win (1-1)
Match Result Prediction
66%Moderate
22%26%52%
HomeDrawAway
Most likely scoreline: 1-1
Goals Markets
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
34%
BTTS Yes
56%
Model Breakdown
eloH: 21% | D: 24% | A: 56%
poissonH: 19% | D: 25% | A: 56%
Context Adjustments
motivation: -2%
Our Analysis vs Market
(6 bookmakers)Home Win
Us22%
Market22%
Draw
Us26%
Market27%
Away Win+1%
Us52%
Market51%
Over 2.5+2%
Us56%
Market54%
Bookmaker Odds
Match Result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3.99 | 3.42 | 1.95 |
| William Hill | 4.09 | 3.76 | 1.89 |
| Betfair | 3.96 | 3.69 | 2.00 |
| Pinnacle | 4.52 | 3.56 | 1.88 |
| Unibet | 5.12 | 3.36 | 1.83 |
| 1xBet | 4.23 | 3.60 | 1.92 |
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.76 | 2.07 |
| William Hill | 1.79 | 2.09 |
| Betfair | 1.84 | 2.08 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| Unibet | 1.74 | 2.11 |
| 1xBet | 1.73 | 2.07 |
Form Comparison
Girona
Stat
Villarreal
Last 5
1.4
Avg Scored
2.1
1.5
Avg Conceded
0.8
-
Avg Possession
-
2
Clean Sheets
5
13
League Pos
3