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Spain - La Liga | Regular Season - 31
Sun 12 Apr at 19:00
Athletic
Elo: 1611
vs
Villarreal
Elo: 1753
Prediction: Away Win (1-1)
Match Result Prediction
61%Moderate
28%29%43%
HomeDrawAway
Most likely scoreline: 1-1
Goals Markets
Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
31%
BTTS Yes
57%
Model Breakdown
eloH: 28% | D: 28% | A: 44%
poissonH: 29% | D: 28% | A: 43%
Context Adjustments
motivation: -2%
Our Analysis vs Market
(6 bookmakers)Home Win+1%
Us28%
Market27%
Draw
Us29%
Market29%
Away Win-1%
Us43%
Market44%
Over 2.5
Us53%
Market52%
Bookmaker Odds
Match Result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3.89 | 3.24 | 2.14 |
| William Hill | 3.07 | 3.72 | 2.20 |
| Betfair | 3.52 | 3.49 | 2.23 |
| Pinnacle | 3.90 | 3.20 | 2.14 |
| Unibet | 3.60 | 3.08 | 2.19 |
| 1xBet | 3.32 | 3.46 | 2.31 |
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.76 | 2.16 |
| William Hill | 1.72 | 2.21 |
| Betfair | 1.79 | 2.09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.89 | 1.97 |
| Unibet | 1.99 | 1.82 |
| 1xBet | 1.92 | 1.96 |
Form Comparison
Athletic
Stat
Villarreal
Last 5
1.7
Avg Scored
2.1
1.2
Avg Conceded
0.8
-
Avg Possession
-
3
Clean Sheets
5
9
League Pos
3