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Italy - Serie A | Regular Season - 32
Sun 12 Apr at 13:00
Parma
Elo: 1539
vs
Napoli
Elo: 1753
Prediction: Away Win (1-1)
Match Result Prediction
65%Moderate
23%27%50%
HomeDrawAway
Most likely scoreline: 1-1
Goals Markets
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
33%
BTTS Yes
57%
Model Breakdown
eloH: 23% | D: 25% | A: 53%
poissonH: 21% | D: 26% | A: 53%
Context Adjustments
motivation: -2%
Our Analysis vs Market
(6 bookmakers)Home Win
Us23%
Market23%
Draw-1%
Us27%
Market28%
Away Win
Us50%
Market49%
Over 2.5-2%
Us56%
Market57%
Bookmaker Odds
Match Result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 4.29 | 3.35 | 1.98 |
| William Hill | 3.83 | 3.59 | 2.08 |
| Betfair | 3.61 | 3.71 | 2.08 |
| Pinnacle | 4.34 | 3.58 | 1.83 |
| Unibet | 4.60 | 3.28 | 1.95 |
| 1xBet | 4.71 | 3.27 | 1.90 |
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.63 | 2.43 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 2.19 |
| Betfair | 1.77 | 2.17 |
| Pinnacle | 1.63 | 2.43 |
| Unibet | 1.63 | 2.39 |
| 1xBet | 1.77 | 2.16 |
Form Comparison
Parma
Stat
Napoli
Last 5
1.5
Avg Scored
2.1
1.4
Avg Conceded
0.8
-
Avg Possession
-
3
Clean Sheets
5
12
League Pos
3