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Italy - Serie A | Regular Season - 33
Sat 18 Apr at 16:00
Napoli
Elo: 1753
vs
Lazio
Elo: 1634
Prediction: Home Win (2-0)
Match Result Prediction
77%High
57%25%18%
HomeDrawAway
Most likely scoreline: 2-0
Goals Markets
Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
34%
BTTS Yes
53%
Model Breakdown
eloH: 57% | D: 23% | A: 20%
poissonH: 63% | D: 23% | A: 14%
Context Adjustments
motivation: +2%
Our Analysis vs Market
(6 bookmakers)Home Win
Us57%
Market57%
Draw
Us25%
Market25%
Away Win
Us18%
Market18%
Over 2.5-1%
Us57%
Market58%
Bookmaker Odds
Match Result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.81 | 3.98 | 4.48 |
| William Hill | 1.77 | 3.77 | 4.96 |
| Betfair | 1.69 | 3.68 | 5.42 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60 | 3.68 | 6.24 |
| Unibet | 1.59 | 4.24 | 5.79 |
| 1xBet | 1.74 | 3.84 | 5.08 |
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.77 | 2.16 |
| William Hill | 1.61 | 2.41 |
| Betfair | 1.59 | 2.46 |
| Pinnacle | 1.74 | 2.00 |
| Unibet | 1.70 | 2.21 |
| 1xBet | 1.55 | 2.52 |
Form Comparison
Napoli
Stat
Lazio
Last 5
2.1
Avg Scored
1.8
0.8
Avg Conceded
1.1
-
Avg Possession
-
5
Clean Sheets
4
3
League Pos
8